Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kadir Has Şehir Stadı
We said: Kayserispor 2-1 Kasimpasa
Kayserispor should be able to compartmentalise their defeat to the high-flying Galatasaray last time out, and take confidence from the fact they have been enjoying a strong season by their standards.
Kasimpasa, meanwhile, should have enough about them to avoid relegation, but their away form has been wretched of late and we can envisage them falling to another defeat on the road on Wednesday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
61% ( 0.11) | 20.39% ( 0.02) | 18.6% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.06% ( -0.33) |
| 61.84% ( -0.33) | 38.15% ( 0.33) |
| 39.57% ( -0.35) | 60.42% ( 0.35) |
| 87.89% ( -0.07) | 12.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.34% ( -0.15) | 37.65% ( 0.15) |
| 66.05% ( -0.33) | 33.94% ( 0.33) |
