SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
22.08% ( 0.56) | 22.4% ( 0.44) | 55.52% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 56.78% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.49% ( -1.32) | 42.51% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.09% ( -1.33) | 64.91% ( 1.33) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% ( -0.23) | 33.05% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.35% ( -0.26) | 69.64% ( 0.26) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( -0.78) | 15.19% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.18% ( -1.48) | 43.82% ( 1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.08% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.11)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.1)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.52% |
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