Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 63.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hartberg had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Hartberg win it was 1-0 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
