Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 49.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for LASK Linz had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a LASK Linz win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.