SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | NEC |
55.9% ( 0.16) | 23.09% ( 0.1) | 21.01% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.99% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( -0.75) | 46.8% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( -0.71) | 69.06% ( 0.71) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% ( -0.21) | 16.56% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.65% ( -0.38) | 46.34% ( 0.38) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.5% ( -0.69) | 36.49% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.72% ( -0.7) | 73.28% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.08% | 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.01% |
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