SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
39.27% ( -0.01) | 24.42% ( -0.02) | 36.32% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.84% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.05% ( 0.12) | 42.95% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.65% ( 0.12) | 65.35% ( -0.11) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( 0.04) | 21.89% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.86% ( 0.07) | 55.14% ( -0.07) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( 0.08) | 23.4% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.62% ( 0.11) | 57.38% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.51% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 36.32% |
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