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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
44.46% ( 0.19) | 24.64% ( 0.03) | 30.9% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% ( -0.21) | 45.44% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.23% ( -0.2) | 67.77% ( 0.2) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( 0) | 20.53% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.97% ( -0) | 53.03% ( 0) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% ( -0.24) | 27.79% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.63% ( -0.31) | 63.38% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.46% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.9% |
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