Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
