SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 75.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.88%) and 3-0 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
75.32% ( -0.09) | 16.15% ( 0.05) | 8.53% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.88% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.17% ( -0.1) | 42.83% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.76% ( -0.1) | 65.24% ( 0.1) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.3% ( -0.05) | 9.7% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.67% ( -0.11) | 32.33% ( 0.11) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.49% ( 0.03) | 52.51% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.67% ( 0.02) | 86.33% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 2-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.24% 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 75.32% | 1-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.88% ( 0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 16.15% | 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 8.53% |
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