SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Leicester City |
34.8% ( 0.11) | 23.07% ( 0.04) | 42.13% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 64.62% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.4% ( -0.15) | 36.6% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.24% ( -0.16) | 58.76% ( 0.16) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( -0.01) | 21.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.78% ( -0.02) | 54.22% ( 0.02) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( -0.12) | 17.9% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.31% ( -0.21) | 48.69% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.8% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.9% Total : 42.13% |
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