SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
51.69% ( 0.13) | 24.33% ( -0.06) | 23.97% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( 0.16) | 48.85% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( 0.15) | 70.94% ( -0.16) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( 0.11) | 18.88% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.64% ( 0.19) | 50.35% ( -0.2) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( 0.02) | 34.85% ( -0.03) |
