Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
23.29% ( 0)	22.01% ( -0)	54.7% ( -0)

Both teams to score 59.8% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.74% (

0.01)

39.26% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.41% (

0.01)

61.59% (

-0.01)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.81% (

0.01)

30.19% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.66% (

0.01)

66.35% (

-0.01)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.66% (

14.34% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.81% (

0.01)

42.19% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 23.29%

Brighton & Hove Albion 54.7%

Draw 22.01%

Luton Town	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.03% 1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.98% Total : 23.29%	1-1 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.01%	1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.33% 0-3 @ 5.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.57% 2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.7%