SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 82.98%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 5.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 4-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Crystal Palace |
82.98% ( -0.03) | 11.03% ( 0.01) | 5.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.23% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.34% ( 0.02) | 26.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.94% ( 0.03) | 47.06% ( -0.03) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.34% ( -0) | 4.66% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.04% ( -0) | 18.96% ( 0) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.68% ( 0.06) | 47.32% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.28% ( 0.05) | 82.72% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 3-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 6.08% ( 0)5-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.9% 5-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 4.49% Total : 82.97% | 1-1 @ 5.06% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 11.03% | 1-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 5.99% |
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