SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
68.49% ( -0.47) | 18.82% ( 0.25) | 12.69% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.12% ( -0.57) | 42.88% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.72% ( -0.57) | 65.29% ( 0.58) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.54% ( -0.28) | 11.46% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.71% ( -0.62) | 36.29% ( 0.63) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.46% ( -0) | 44.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.44% | 80.56% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.63% Total : 68.48% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 18.82% | 0-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 12.69% |
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