SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester United |
46.99% ( -0.15) | 23.85% ( 0.12) | 29.16% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.08% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.25% ( -0.53) | 42.75% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.85% ( -0.52) | 65.15% ( 0.52) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% ( -0.27) | 18.38% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.48% ( -0.45) | 49.52% ( 0.45) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( -0.24) | 27.61% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.86% ( -0.31) | 63.14% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.52% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.16% |
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