SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Chelsea Women win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
54.94% ( 0.47) | 23.09% ( -0.16) | 21.98% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% ( 0.37) | 45.66% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.02% ( 0.36) | 67.98% ( -0.35) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( 0.3) | 16.5% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.78% ( 0.54) | 46.23% ( -0.53) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% ( -0.07) | 34.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.35% ( -0.08) | 71.65% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 54.93% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.98% |
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