Although Atletico Mineiro finally returned to winning ways at the weekend, they had been on a dreadful run of form until their victory against Sao Paulo.
Palmeiras should be able to keep their opponents at arm's length, potentially picking them off in transition should the visitors go chasing the tie after losing at home last week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
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