Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Nov 1, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio La Corregidora
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and CD Guadalajara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
Result |
Queretaro | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
31.12% ( -0.04) | 27.32% ( 0.04) | 41.55% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 48.92% ( -0.13) |
43.57% ( -0.16) | 56.42% ( 0.15) |
22.56% ( -0.13) | 77.43% ( 0.13) |
66.79% ( -0.12) | 33.21% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.18% ( -0.13) | 69.81% ( 0.12) |
73.25% ( -0.08) | 26.75% ( 0.07) |