Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD Guadalajara	Draw	Atlas
41.41% ( 0.08)	27.84% ( -0.19)	30.75% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 47.28% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.57% (

0.72)

58.43% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.97% (

0.56)

79.03% (

-0.56)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23% (

0.39)

27.77% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65% (

0.49)

63.35% (

-0.49)

Atlas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46% (

0.47)

34.54% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.74% (

0.49)

71.26% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

CD Guadalajara 41.41%

Atlas 30.74%

Draw 27.83%

CD Guadalajara	Draw	Atlas
1-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 41.41%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.23% Total : 30.74%