SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Puebla | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
30.81% ( -0.12) | 25.17% ( 0) | 44.02% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.53% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.15% ( -0.07) | 47.84% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( -0.07) | 70.03% ( 0.06) |
| Puebla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% ( -0.12) | 29.05% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.03% ( -0.14) | 64.97% ( 0.14) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( 0.02) | 21.73% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.1% ( 0.03) | 54.9% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Puebla | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.81% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.02% |
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