SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
35.87% ( -0.06) | 25.39% ( -0) | 38.74% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% ( 0.01) | 47.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.27% ( 0.01) | 69.73% ( -0.01) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( -0.03) | 25.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.3% ( -0.03) | 60.7% ( 0.03) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% ( 0.03) | 24.18% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.48% ( 0.05) | 58.51% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.74% |
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