SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
38.13% ( 0.16) | 25.38% ( -0) | 36.48% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.57% ( -0) | 47.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.35% ( -0) | 69.64% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( 0.09) | 24.46% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% ( 0.12) | 58.9% ( -0.12) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.09) | 25.37% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.83% ( -0.12) | 60.16% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.13% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.48% |
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