Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
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