SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Lugano |
47.08% ( 0.21) | 21.95% ( -0.05) | 30.97% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 67.22% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.45% ( 0.16) | 32.54% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.8% ( 0.18) | 54.2% ( -0.18) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( 0.13) | 14.45% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.59% ( 0.25) | 42.4% ( -0.25) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% ( -0.02) | 21.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.57% ( -0.02) | 54.42% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.54% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.58% Total : 30.97% |
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