SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Young Boys |
24.47% ( -0.03) | 22.76% ( 0.04) | 52.77% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.53% ( -0.22) | 41.46% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.14% ( -0.23) | 63.86% ( 0.22) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% ( -0.14) | 30.41% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.38% ( -0.17) | 66.61% ( 0.17) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% ( -0.09) | 15.75% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.13% ( -0.15) | 44.86% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Young Boys |
| 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 24.47% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 52.77% |
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