SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Lugano |
52.05% ( -0.19) | 21.93% ( 0.03) | 26.02% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 63.29% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.95% ( 0.02) | 36.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.85% ( 0.02) | 58.15% ( -0.01) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.92% ( -0.05) | 14.08% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.32% ( -0.11) | 41.68% ( 0.11) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( 0.13) | 26.34% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.53% ( 0.17) | 61.47% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.05% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.93% | 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.02% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
