Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 10, 2023 at 2am UK
Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
We said: Monterrey 2-1 Atlas
Although it is still very early on, Atlas put in a very good performance against Cruz Azul on the opening day, which indicates they could pose a problem for Monterrey.
However, the hosts were dominant in the Liga MX last season, and they have a solid recent record against their opponents, therefore we expect them to eke out a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monterrey in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monterrey.
| Result |
| Monterrey | Draw | Atlas |
54.22% ( 0.16) | 24.96% ( 0.11) | 20.83% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 47.12% ( -0.69) |
| 45.53% ( -0.72) | 54.47% ( 0.72) |
| 24.17% ( -0.6) | 75.83% ( 0.6) |
| 79.94% ( -0.22) | 20.06% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.71% ( -0.35) | 52.29% ( 0.35) |
| 58.95% ( -0.7) | 41.06% ( 0.7) |
