Liga MX | Gameweek 8
Feb 20, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Hidalgo
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result |
Pachuca | Draw | Toluca |
62.57% ( 0.73) | 20.47% ( -0.28) | 16.96% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 54.39% ( 0.04) |
58.61% ( 0.5) | 41.39% ( -0.5) |
36.22% ( 0.5) | 63.78% ( -0.5) |
87.34% ( 0.36) | 12.66% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.19% ( 0.75) | 38.81% ( -0.75) |
62.27% ( -0.22) | 37.73% ( 0.22) |