Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
Tigres	Draw	Toluca
59.24% ( -0.88)	21.62% ( 0.01)	19.14% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 54.78% (

1.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.05% (

1.31)

42.95% (

-1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.65% (

1.29)

65.35% (

-1.29)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.85% (

0.16)

14.14% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.19% (

0.3)

41.8% (

-0.31)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.8% (

1.72)

36.2% (

-1.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.01% (

1.71)

72.98% (

-1.71)

Score Analysis

Tigres 59.24%

Toluca 19.14%

Draw 21.61%

Tigres	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 59.24%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.61%	0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.66% Total : 19.14%