Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.57%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Queretaro
53.57% ( 0)	22.31% ( -0)	24.12% ( -0)

Both teams to score 59.77% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.24% (

-0)

39.76% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.88% (

-0.01)

62.11% (

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.12% (

-0)

14.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.77% (

-0)

43.23% (

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22% (

-0.01)

29.78% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15% (

-0.01)

65.85% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Toluca 53.57%

Queretaro 24.12%

Draw 22.3%

Toluca	Draw	Queretaro
2-1 @ 9.74% 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.57%	1-1 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.3%	1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.11% Total : 24.12%