Ajaccio are desperate for points in their bid to climb out of the bottom four, but Montpellier are full of confidence under their new boss, and we see them putting another victory on the board on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.03) 
