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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Jean Bouin
CF

Angers
1 - 2
Clermont

Boufal (80')
Capelle (42'), Hountondji (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rashani (40'), Borges (47')
Borges (79'), Caufriez (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 2-0 Angers
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Rennes
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Angers 0-1 Clermont

Clermont have been very impressive in their last two matches, so there is no reason why they should not be able to dispatch the team bottom of the table. In their 10-game losing run, Angers have lost by a one-goal margin on seven occasions, so we expect this to be the case again on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Angers had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.

Result
AngersDrawClermont
34.58% (0.143 0.14) 27.87% (0.052 0.05) 37.55% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 48.13% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.19% (-0.189 -0.19)57.82% (0.19 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.46% (-0.149 -0.15)78.54% (0.151 0.15)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)31.56% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31% (-0.209 -0.21)29.69% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.26% (-0.256 -0.26)65.75% (0.25699999999999 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Angers 34.58%
    Clermont 37.55%
    Draw 27.87%
AngersDrawClermont
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.58%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.37% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 2-0 Angers
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Angers
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Angers
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-2 Lens
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Angers
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Rennes
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-1 Clermont
Sunday, January 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-2 Lille
Wednesday, December 28 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Clermont
Saturday, November 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Montpellier
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Clermont
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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