If recent results and trends are anything to go by, Friday's clash will be a high-scoring affair between two in-form teams, with both sides bidding to preserve their unbeaten record.
Given that Monaco average three goals per game in 2023-24, we expect the hosts to outscore the visitors at the Stade Louis II, but Nice look set to give Les Monegasques a run for their money.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Nice had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
-0.18) 
0.21) 
