Given that Lorient and Nice finished just three points apart in last season's Ligue 1 standings, we expect the two sides to share the spoils in an eventful encounter at the Stade du Moustoir.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.07) 
0.05) 
