Under new management, Brest will hope they can turn a corner following a tough start, but a third consecutive European-chasing opponent will present a huge challenge.
This has not been a happy hunting ground recently though for Lille, and there will be pressure on the side to win given their underwhelming league position.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
-0.04) 
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