With Brest and Reims both going into Sunday's showdown in near-identical situations, a tight contest ought to be on the menu, and Balogun will need no second invitation to expose the hosts' defensive shortcomings.
Beating a top-half side in Clermont would have done wonders for Les Pirates' confidence, but they have not treated their fans to spectacular showings on their own patch, and we can envisage a third successive 1-1 draw between the two sides here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Reims had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.25) 
0.12) 
