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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
LL

Brest
1 - 2
Lorient

Del Castillo (17')
Slimani (21'), Del Castillo (63'), Honorat (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moffi (24', 53')
Boisgard (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Brest
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Lille
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-2 Lorient

Lorient will be keen to keep this strong form up for as long as possible with their sights firmly set on a place in Europe. Brest should provide little problem for Lorient, who will likely continue their flying start with another victory away from home this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lorient in this match.

Result
BrestDrawLorient
44.85% (0.516 0.52) 27.56% (-0.209 -0.21) 27.58% (-0.308 -0.31)
Both teams to score 46.47% (0.382 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.32% (0.58 0.58)58.68% (-0.581 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.78% (0.448 0.45)79.22% (-0.449 -0.45)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (0.53100000000001 0.53)26.07% (-0.53 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (0.707 0.71)61.12% (-0.709 -0.71)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (0.065999999999995 0.07)37.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.07% (0.064 0.06)73.92% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Brest 44.85%
    Lorient 27.58%
    Draw 27.56%
BrestDrawLorient
1-0 @ 13.01% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 44.85%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.68% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 27.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Brest
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-0 Brest
Saturday, September 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Brest
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-7 Montpellier
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Lille
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-3 Lorient
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 3-2 Nantes
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 3-1 Lyon
Wednesday, September 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Lorient
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 5-2 Lorient
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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