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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
S

Brest
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Lees-Melou (6')
Brassier (44'), Belkebla (52'), Belaili (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ajorque (28' pen.)
Stephan (33'), Stephan (45'), Pierre-Gabriel (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Brest
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Nantes
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-2 Strasbourg

Both teams are out of form and have struggled defensively so far this term, although they have looked a threat going forward as they have both scored in four of their opening five league games. We fancy both teams to score on Sunday but the visitors may just edge it to climb above their opponents and out of the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawStrasbourg
29.15% (-0.202 -0.2) 27.35% (0.07 0.07) 43.5% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 47.96% (-0.305 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.78% (-0.339 -0.34)57.22% (0.33900000000001 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.93% (-0.268 -0.27)78.07% (0.27 0.27)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)35.09% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.16% (-0.351 -0.35)71.84% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)26.1% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (-0.116 -0.12)61.15% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Brest 29.16%
    Strasbourg 43.49%
    Draw 27.34%
BrestDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 29.16%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.16% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 12.3% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.26% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.7% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Brest
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-7 Montpellier
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-3 Brest
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-2 Brest
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Nantes
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Reims
Sunday, August 21 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, August 14 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Monaco
Saturday, August 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Liverpool 0-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


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