Following a dismal start to the season, Lyon will be desperate to benefit from a new manager bounce under Grosso, but Brest will have other ideas as they bid to continue their ascent of the Ligue 1 table.
Given that Brest have lost only one of their five matches this term - picking up three wins and one draw in the process - we expect the in-form Pirates to heap more misery on Les Gones.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
0.48) 
-0.48) 
