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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Velodrome
BL

Marseille
2 - 0
Brest

Mbemba (4'), Sarr (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Satriano (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metz 2-2 Marseille
Friday, August 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Brest
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-2 Brest

Marseille and Brest have played four Ligue 1 matches between them this season, and those clashes have produced a combined total of 15 goals. For that reason, we expect Saturday's showdown to be a high-scoring affair, with both sides remaining unbeaten as they share the spoils at the Stade Velodrome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawBrest
59.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 22.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 18.36% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 51.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (0.011000000000003 0.01)47.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (0.010999999999999 0.01)69.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)15.56% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.49% (0.011000000000003 0.01)44.51% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.73% (0.0020000000000024 0)76.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 59.29%
    Brest 18.36%
    Draw 22.34%
MarseilleDrawBrest
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 59.29%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.34%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 4.92%
0-2 @ 2.65%
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 18.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Metz 2-2 Marseille
Friday, August 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Panathinaikos (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Reims
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-0 Marseille
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Marseille
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Brest
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Brest
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 3-2 Lens
Sunday, August 13 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-2 Rennes
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Brest
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Auxerre
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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