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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Oceane
PL

Le Havre
0 - 2
PSG


Operi (68'), Alioui (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbappe (23'), Vitinha (89')
Pereira (87')
Donnarumma (10')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Le Havre
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Newcastle
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Le Havre 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain

Le Havre's Ligue 1 foundations this term have been built on a rigid defensive structure, but even with Casimir and Bayo making welcome returns to the fold, their attacking concerns are still alive and well. A depleted PSG backline should have no trouble keeping their shot-shy hosts at arm's length, and with a taste for goals in domestic action, Enrique's men ought to prevail with ease to remain in control of their title destiny. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Le HavreDrawParis Saint-Germain
19.34% (0.998 1) 22.35% (0.568 0.57) 58.32% (-1.567 -1.57)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13% (-0.968 -0.97)45.87% (0.966 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (-0.923 -0.92)68.18% (0.92100000000001 0.92)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (0.532 0.53)37.69% (-0.534 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (0.518 0.52)74.46% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.58% (-0.833 -0.83)15.42% (0.831 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.76% (-1.576 -1.58)44.24% (1.575 1.58)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 19.34%
    Paris Saint-Germain 58.31%
    Draw 22.35%
Le HavreDrawParis Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.308 0.31)
2-1 @ 5.17% (0.208 0.21)
2-0 @ 2.77% (0.188 0.19)
3-1 @ 1.68% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 19.34%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.235 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 10.86% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 10.15% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.33% (-0.3 -0.3)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.96% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.89% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.11% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 58.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Le Havre
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-0 Monaco
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Le Havre
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-0 Le Havre
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-0 Lens
Friday, October 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-0 Le Havre
Sunday, October 8 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Newcastle
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 5-2 Monaco
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-3 PSG
Saturday, November 11 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 PSG
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 3-0 Montpellier
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-3 PSG
Sunday, October 29 at 12pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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