Montpellier have kept their back door bolted shut more often than not in recent weeks, but over the past six years, PSG have always found a way through the Paillade backline on more than one occasion, and Friday's encounter should be no different.
An in-form Adams is certainly capable of denying the hosts a fifth straight clean sheet at home, but Enrique's own effervescent forwards should fire their team to the top of the table - at least temporarily - on Friday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
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