While Lens struggled without Openda and Fofana as they threw away a 2-0 lead last time out, Rennes hit the ground running with a dominant 5-1 victory on the opening weekend.
With that in mind, we expect the Red and Blacks to carry their momentum into Sunday's showdown, inflicting back-to-back defeats on the Blood and Gold.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.03) 
