Marseille's dismal away record and ongoing shortcomings at the back could offer Metz some optimism of a shock result this Friday, and we would not put it past Boloni's men to prolong the visitors' streak without a clean sheet.
The hosts' own defensive record does not inspire confidence, though, and a refreshed Marseille team should have no trouble getting back on track to remain perfect in Ligue 1.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.16) 
