SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
34.69% ( 0.22) | 23.77% ( -0.03) | 41.54% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.89% ( 0.2) | 40.1% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.53% ( 0.21) | 62.47% ( -0.21) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( 0.21) | 22.97% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( 0.32) | 56.75% ( -0.32) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( 0) | 19.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.45% ( 0) | 51.55% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.69% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 41.54% |
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