SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Marseille |
58.21% ( -0.29) | 22.86% ( 0.07) | 18.93% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 50.39% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.4% ( 0.05) | 48.61% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.28% ( 0.05) | 70.72% ( -0.05) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( -0.08) | 16.4% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.95% ( -0.15) | 46.05% ( 0.15) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.28% ( 0.29) | 39.72% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.61% ( 0.26) | 76.4% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 58.19% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.93% |
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