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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
R

Nantes
0 - 1
Reims

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ito (75')
Foket (53'), Busi (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 4-0 Nantes
Saturday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Lorient
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-2 Reims

Nantes have enjoyed a positive start to the season; however, their defensive record is a major concern. Reims have scored at least once in every league match they have played this season, and against a leaky defence in this one, we fancy the visitors to come away with the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawReims
31.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 24.39% (0.0040000000000013 0) 44.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.72% (-0.012 -0.01)44.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87%27.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.51% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)20.01% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)52.2% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 31.05%
    Reims 44.56%
    Draw 24.39%
NantesDrawReims
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 7.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.05%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 44.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lens 4-0 Nantes
Saturday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Nantes
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 5-3 Lorient
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-1 Nantes
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Lorient
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Reims
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-0 Lyon
Sunday, October 1 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Reims
Tuesday, September 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-2 Brest
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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