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N
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
T

Nantes
1 - 2
Toulouse

Mohamed (13' pen.)
Coco (2'), Pallois (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aboukhlal (62'), Nicolaisen (90+1')
Costa (52'), Sierro (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Nantes
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Roma
Sunday, August 6 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Nantes 1-1 Toulouse

Both sides seem weakened by their transfer-window dealings so far, and a low-scoring encounter could be on the cards when they meet on Ligue 1's opening day. Even in pre-season, Nantes have lost that winning feeling, so they may have to settle for a home draw against their cup final conquerors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawToulouse
35.04% (0.086999999999996 0.09) 25.68% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 39.28% (-0.135 -0.13)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (-0.204 -0.2)48.87% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (-0.185 -0.18)70.97% (0.188 0.19)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)26.88% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)62.2% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)24.5% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (-0.229 -0.23)58.96% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 35.04%
    Toulouse 39.28%
    Draw 25.68%
NantesDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 35.04%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.51% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Nantes
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Angers
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Montpellier
Saturday, May 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Roma
Sunday, August 6 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Norwich
Tuesday, July 25 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-2 Toulouse
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Auxerre
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Ligue 1


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