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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
LL

Strasbourg
1 - 3
Lorient

Guilbert (51')
Diarra (26'), Mwanga (67'), Gabriel (87')
Bakwa (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bamba (2', 45+2'), Ponceau (49')
Toure (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-0 Reims
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 2-1 Lorient

Despite a difficult result last time out, Strasbourg have proven their ability to compete in the top half of the division and should be confident of winning on Sunday. Lorient have been impressive in back-to-back successes, but we cannot imagine them making it three-straight wins at Stade de la Meinau this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLorient
53.62% (-0.23 -0.23) 24.9% (0.131 0.13) 21.49% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 48.18% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.47% (-0.38 -0.38)53.53% (0.384 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (-0.321 -0.32)75.04% (0.325 0.33)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (-0.239 -0.24)19.94% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.92% (-0.389 -0.39)52.08% (0.394 0.39)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.17% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)39.83% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.51% (-0.101 -0.1)76.5% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 53.61%
    Lorient 21.49%
    Draw 24.89%
StrasbourgDrawLorient
1-0 @ 12.8% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.119 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.087 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Le Havre
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 PSG
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-0 Reims
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 3-3 Le Havre
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-0 Lorient
Sunday, January 14 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sochaux 2-1 Lorient
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 4-0 Lorient
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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