Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Caen had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0) 
